US Energy

Looks like Rita did a number on the Gulf oil:

Hurricane Rita has caused more damage to oil rigs than any other storm in history and will force companies to delay drilling for oil in the US and as far away as the Middle East, initial damage assessments show.

With prices going up, one would hope our consumption would change. However, this story on Slate about gas prices and the American consumer is quite revealing. Our gas consumption is not affected by price swings because our consumption is locked in by major purchases. Houses in the suburbs and big cars are not things that we change quickly or easily.

“Practically speaking, the only hope of changing America’s driving habits is a hefty price increase that lasts. For, oh, five years. The data show that after that long, even the response of American drivers to higher prices can be pretty sizable. Five years gives people the time to come up with substitutes. Higher commuting costs over that many years could induce you to buy a smaller car, move closer to work, find a car pool for your kids. Of course, that’s why Hurricane Katrina is not likely to have a lasting impact on gasoline use. It’s a big blip, but only a transitory one. Which means it’s exactly what consumers don’t change their behavior for.”

Of course, some would like to argue that the real energy crisis this winter will be natural gas. With 3.5 million cubic feet of Gulf of Mexico natural gas production off-line, and not returning before Christmas, the midwest could be in for a huge shortfall.

Adams Avenue Street Fair

(All photos for this entry are posted here)

Anna and I wandered around Adams Avenue Street Fair Saturday night. It was a good mix, as usual. The jazz stage was nice, but I was disappointed in the latin stage. There were two guys with laptops dj’ing, where I expected to find a funky group like the B-Side Players. While the laptop guys seemed to have a decent crowd, it wasn’t what I was looking for. Expectations, such a cruel mistress.

Is it just me, or did the fair have a lot more amusement park rides this year? They made nice camera fodder, even without a tripod. One of the things I love about street fairs is the sampling of food. All styles and speeds to meet your needs. I got my aguas de sandia (watermelon), Anna got her kibbie sandwich. Everyone wins.

SoCal Rocket

DARPA Rocket over San Diego (img from the signonsandiego.com)
Image from signonsandiego.com

Did anyone else happen to catch the DARPA rocket last night? I was headed to P.B. to do some fish tacos on the beach with Bart and gang when I saw it from the freeway. The sun lit it the exhaust trail as if it was a swirling line of multi-colored fire across the sky. It stayed visible for several minutes after finishing its burn. Quite amazing.

The satellite payload is supposed to “gather information about the Earth’s environment in low orbit”. I wonder what else..

The b word

The ridiculously expensive converted condos a block away from us have apparently not been able to sell many units by using the sign flipper guys, or draping a giant banner on the front of the building that is visible from the freeway. This calls for the big guns – a big ole yellow blimp flying from the top of the building, with “CONDOS!” emblazoned on the sides of it. I’ve been wondering what the next step in this war will be. I’m going to put my money on “Free Dinner at Rubio’s With Walk-through Tour!”, written on a flipped sign, thrown from a guy suspended from a blimp.

Professor Piggington lays the smack down on “Report: San Diego housing bubble a myth”, a San Diego Source story on yahoo:

“I’m not sure what I’m more confused about: why the Grinch is attending a Phish concert, or why somebody thought that would make me want to take out a mortgage.”

This LA Times story titled “Mortgages take a bigger bite”, has some choice crazy quotes:

When Rancho Cucamonga buyer Seth Rowlands qualified for a loan to purchase a three-bedroom fixer for $370,000, his lifestyle took a major hit. Because he used all of his available money to buy the home, with little cash left over, the Century 21 agent is sleeping on an air mattress and has yet to buy appliances and furniture. “For the first four months after I bought the house, I came home from work and ate dinner in my car,” Rowlands said. “I made home-buying a goal. If I have to sacrifice and struggle, it’s worth it, knowing I have a home.”

CNN Money takes a look at crazy loans:

Lenders are pushing risky loans with low payments. Desperate home buyers snap them up. Worried yet?

Even Mr Irrational Exuberance has wieghed in on the housing market:

“The housing boom will inevitably simmer down,” Greenspan said in the prepared remarks. “As part of that process, house turnover will decline from currently historic levels, while home price increases will slow and prices could even decrease.”

I give Greenspan a hard time, but he did the right thing today – keeping up the gradual raising of interest rates for the Federal Reserve. He was under pressure to slack off because of Katrina, but inflation and excess credit demand higher rates.

Update: The Economist has a good piece on the Fed’s concerns, and other central banks around the world.